Thursday, 17 July 2008
Crude oil prices tumble for second day in a row Print E-mail
Adam Schreck - The Associated Press   

NEW YORK -- Oil prices settled sharply lower for the second time in a row Wednesday, leaving crude more than $10 cheaper in just two days of frenzied trading and prompting speculation that the hard-charging market may be running out of steam.

Light, sweet crude for August delivery fell $4.14 to settle at $134.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after earlier sinking as low as $132. The drop follows a $6.44 sell-off Tuesday, crude's biggest since the Gulf War.

The two-day slide of $10.58 per barrel marks a dramatic turnaround in crude prices, which as recently as Friday traded at record highs above $147 a barrel. But even with this week's sell-off, prices remain about 80 percent above where they were a year ago and up about 40 percent from the start of the year.

Analysts are unsure whether the drop represents a long-term shift in sentiment or simply a brief correction to crude's monthslong bull run. But the dizzying decline is prompting market veterans to ask how much support remains for such high prices.

"It's a sign that maybe the bull market is losing strength," said Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research Inc.

Perhaps just as significant as the declines was the sudden increase in volatility. Prices whipsawed by more than $10 Tuesday and $7 Wednesday ahead of the expiration of options contracts this week.

"I think anyone you talk to would have to be surprised by the magnitude of these huge price swings. This is extreme price volatility that no one can predict," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates. Such large up-and-down swings, he added, can indicate the market is nearing its top.

Sharply increased crude and gasoline supplies were the immediate cause of Wednesday's decline.

The Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude oil supplies rose by 3 million barrels, or 1 percent, last week. That is the opposite of the 3 million barrel draw analysts surveyed by energy research firm Platts expected. Gasoline supplies also leapt unexpectedly.

"The numbers were decidedly bearish on just about all fronts," Ritterbusch said.

Industry observers cautioned that prices could still bounce back, just as they have following large drops in recent weeks.

"I do expect this bubble to burst. Is this is it? It might be ... but I'm not ready to say so yet," analyst and trader Stephen Schork said.

A number of market participants speculated that at least some of the week's sell-off was the result of cash-strapped banks selling energy contracts to raise money for other needs.

And widely used computers programed to sell once prices fall to certain thresholds can accelerate declines, much as an avalanche gains steam the further it slides.

"It absolutely adds a cascading effect," Schork said.

Yet concerns are growing that high energy prices are leading to real shifts in consumer behavior that could cause demand to shrivel considerably.

The Labor Department said consumer prices shot up 1.1 percent last month, the second fastest pace in 26 years. Rising energy prices accounted for two-thirds of that increase, which was far worse than expected.

Testifying before Congress for the second day, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said central bank policymakers are facing "significant challenges" in righting the troubled U.S. economy, which is being buffeted by weak growth and inflation driven largely by rapidly rising food and energy prices.

"This is clearly a rough time," Bernanke said. "It is clear (economic) growth has been slow and the labor market is weak. So conditions are tough on average families."

American Airlines and Delta Air Lines, two of the three biggest U.S. carriers, each reported a loss of more than $1 billion in the second quarter, largely because of higher fuel costs.

"With each passing day, we are reading about more car companies cutting back on production, airlines slashing flights, and consumers driving less," said Edward Meir, an analyst at MF Global. "Of course, these are not new factors, and energy markets have ignored them for several months now as they have relentlessly pushed higher, but we suspect that as the pace of demand destruction accelerates it will be harder to ignore."

The dollar strengthened against the euro, giving traders less reason to go bargain shopping in the suddenly discounted energy market. A weaker dollar has enticed investors to buy oil and other commodities as hedges against inflation and a weakening dollar, but that incentive diminishes when the dollar gains ground.

It will be some time before any declines -- assuming they hold -- show up at the gas pump, where prices continued to advance.

U.S. retail gasoline prices added half a cent to $4.114 per gallon, according to auto club AAA, the Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express.

Diesel prices also marched higher, up nearly a penny to $4.839 a gallon.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures shed 7.8 cents to settle at $3.841 a gallon while gasoline futures lost 10.54 cents to settle at $3.2794 a gallon. Natural gas futures fell 7.9 cents to settle at $11.398 per 1,000 cubic feet.

August Brent crude fell $2.56 to settle at $136.19 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

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The Keeper Jul 17 2008 18:51:09
Everybody Loves Raymond wrote:
By election day a barrel of oil will be going for $69. Gas will be at $2.25. McCain will have a 15 point lead over the Magic Obama. The troops will be coming home in victory from Iraq. The liberal press will be in tears.

America will rejoice!!!!!!!!!!!


Troops coming home? What part of a 100-year-war didn't you understand?
#380311
prisonpig Jul 17 2008 19:08:51
Wow Raymond! Good dope today, huh! You're dilusional, but I must admire your hopes and dreams.
#380319
unaffiliated_person Jul 17 2008 20:06:59
Everybody Loves Raymond wrote:
By election day a barrel of oil will be going for $69. Gas will be at $2.25. McCain will have a 15 point lead over the Magic Obama. The troops will be coming home in victory from Iraq. The liberal press will be in tears.

America will rejoice!!!!!!!!!!!


Perhaps I could know what you base these predictions on?
#380332
The Keeper Jul 17 2008 20:33:58
gaystaterefugee wrote:
This thread discusses the Content article: Crude oil prices tumble for second day in a row

One day after GWBush (43) recinds the executive order banning off-shore drilling GBush (41) implemented 18 years ago, the per barrel price drops $10 per barrel and the Market jumps 200 points.

Duh! Whooodathunkit! 18 years....and Nancy and Harry are still sayin it "isn't going to make any immediate impact"...DUH!

18 FRIKKEN YEARS....Thanks for nothin! Dum Basses!

We are doomed!

Notice to Enemies of USA....Save your ammo,
USA is for Sale. Contact Congressional Realty Sales.
For Sale...Used Chinese Oil Rig Near Key West. Great potential for the right buyer.


Those good Bush Buddies over in Saudi Arabia are offering to buy $2.4 billion in Russian arms, if if if Russia will break ties with Iran.

You can bet all you have that the Saudis know that in coming years Iran will be the most powerful Islamic nation in that region, not Saudi Arabia. Americans will have an epiphany when they figure out that Iranian Shia is not as hateful towards America as is Saudi Wahhabism. That might be yet another Great Awakening in America for idiot Christians that do not see the realities of the world as they really are.

Things are now so desperate in Washington DC that a top American diplomat is soon to meet with the EU and Iran's nuclear program director in Geneva. That is a major shift in US policy, but they have no choice.

With Russia siding with Iran, and China too, The Grand Chessboard is not what our idiot planners intended for it to be. We lost.

George W Bush just announced on July 14, 2008 that he is lifting the Executive Order ban on offshore drilling and urged Congress to join with him.

Why would he do that now?

Seriously, did it take our decisive "Great Decider" that long to make that decision...or did something just happen and he had no choice?

1. After almost 30 years of plotting, scheming and conniving, the Caspian Basin is now lost to the US and UK. By hiding their greed and lust for power and control behind a Global War on Terror aimed at Islam, they have now managed to accomplish absolutely nothing in over six years except to blow trillions of dollars in vain and get a lot of people killed, both foreign and American, based on their lies. The US will get some oil but it definitely will not control the Caspian Basin area.

2. Islamic Turkmenistan recently announced that it was going to sell most of its natural gas to China and a pipeline will soon be completed to do just that. In the very near future, Turkmenistan natural gas will be flowing north into Russia, east to China, and southeast into India. All of that natural gas was targeted by the US and UK in their tragically flawed Global War on Terror...to turn it into American and British controlled natural gas. And they failed to do so by any measure one can define as 'failed'.

Just think - Africa is next! See Dick run (to Africa).

By February 1, 2002, the assistant secretary of state for African affairs, Walter Kansteiner, declared: "This [African oil] has become of national strategic interest to us." And a December 2001 report by the US National Intelligence Council, Global Trends 2015, forecast that by 2015 a full quarter of US oil imports would come from Africa. Axis of Logic
#380338
gaystaterefugee Jul 18 2008 13:12:24
eric hussein miami wrote:
gaystaterefugee wrote:
This thread discusses the Content article: Crude oil prices tumble for second day in a row

One day after GWBush (43) recinds the executive order banning off-shore drilling GBush (41) implemented 18 years ago, the per barrel price drops $10 per barrel and the Market jumps 200 points.

Duh! Whooodathunkit! 18 years....and Nancy and Harry are still sayin it "isn't going to make any immediate impact"...DUH!

18 FRIKKEN YEARS....Thanks for nothin! Dum Basses!

We are doomed!

Notice to Enemies of USA....Save your ammo,
USA is for Sale. Contact Congressional Realty Sales.
For Sale...Used Chinese Oil Rig Near Key West. Great potential for the right buyer.


The simplicity of your thought process is touching, Gay. Thanks for sharing the child-like innocence you have managed to maintain into puberty.


Love the "new" tag....fitting for sure.

Oh by the way, YOUR STILL A MORON but one must get a little dog-sh1t on ones shoe from time to time.
It isn't the scraping it off that bothers me as much as the hanging aroma that permeates the zip code for days. Your still my favorite "hanging aroma"!
#380428
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