Don't expect long lines Tuesday, but the voucher throwdown could drive a few more people to the polls than usual in an off-year election.
During a typical municipal elections year, about 30 percent of the voting population finds enough time between kids, work and which ever spawn of "Law & Order" is on that night to get to the polls.
"It's sad. It does have a very dismal turnout," said Utah County elections coordinator Sandy Hoffmann.
Of course, by staying home, voters tend to let the same group of people decide on the deciders.
"Most campaigns, if you look at the numbers, are contests between groups of elites," said Kelly Patterson, director for Brigham Young University's Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy.
But with the school voucher issue on the table, there could be a bump in participation. The heated debate has turned into a national discussion, and both sides have spent millions of dollars to reach voters. But don't expect a huge jump in participation.
"Turnout will probably not approach levels you get in even numbers years with federal races on the ballot," Patterson said.
Hoffmann agrees. Her experience has shown municipal elections bring in about 30 percent of the voters. She expects 40 percent this year. That's short of the 50 percent she would see in a county/state election cycle and the 80 percent that show up during a presidential year.
The voucher referendum is the reason Hoffmann is involved at all in a municipal election, a first for the county. Because it is a statewide issue, the county is handling the election. While busy, it's been mostly smooth. The place that needs more attention is the 47 districts that include voters from city and county land. Judges in those districts will be asking where voters are from to ensure that voters living on unincorporated property don't get a card for city races.
"I was supposed to kick back this year and take several weeks off at this time," Hoffmann said.
• 25-30 percent have absolutely no interest and are essentially inattentive
• 15-20 percent follow issues closely and educate themselves about candidates
• 50 percent could be persuaded to vote if the issue interests them
Source: Kelly Patterson, BYU Department of Political Science
Posted in News on Sunday, November 4, 2007 11:00 pm
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