BYU OFFENSE VS. NEW MEXICO DEFENSE

The Lobos will bring the heat and try to disrupt BYU's precision offense. Last season, UNM did a good job of that and harrassed Max Hall as well as anybody did all year. One thing we do know: A lackluster performance like last week's against Utah State will spell trouble for the offense.

• Advantage: BYU

NEW MEXICO OFFENSE VS. BYU DEFENSE

With Donovan Porterie out for the season, the Lobos are pretty one-dimensional, but Rodney Ferguson is an exceptional running back. Even with Ferguson resting a sore shoulder last week, UNM ran for 300-plus yards against Wyoming. The Lobos also have ultra-quick Paul Baker and powerful James Wright, more than capable running backs. A healthy BYU defense has to stop the run and force redshirt freshman Brad Gruner to throw the ball.

• Advantage: Even

SPECIAL TEAMS

James Aho has kicked 11 field goals for the Lobos and Ian Clark is a dangerous punt returner. BYU's special teams have been solid but missed two field goals against Utah State, one of them blocked. Field position, as always, remains a key to the Cougars' success.

• Advantage: Even

INTANGIBLES

Bronco Mendenhall and Rocky Long have a strong history together and the respect is mutual. The Lobos were very bitter after losing last year in Albuquerque and would like nothing better than to end BYU's BCS dreams. The Cougars have won 17 straight MWC games and 15 straight at home.

• Advantage: BYU

KEY MATCHUP: BYU defensive line vs. New Mexico offensive line

It's simple, really. If New Mexico can run effectively -- without much threat of the pass -- it can control the clock and tempo of the game. If BYU forces the Lobos to pass, it could get ugly.

• Advantage: BYU

• Darnell sez: BYU 37, New Mexico 14