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Layin’ it on the Line: The future of retirement — What today’s economic trends mean for you

By Lyle Boss - Special to the Daily Herald | May 3, 2025

Courtesy photo

Lyle Boss

Retirement planning has never been a one-size-fits-all journey, but today’s economic landscape is making the process even more unpredictable. Inflation, interest rates, market fluctuations and policy changes are shaping the way retirees and pre-retirees need to think about their financial futures. 

The question is: Are you adapting your retirement strategy to keep up?

Let’s break down the key economic trends impacting retirement in 2025 and what they mean for you. 

  1. Inflation and the cost of living in retirement 

Inflation is often called the “silent killer” of retirement savings. It gradually erodes purchasing power, making everyday expenses — like groceries, health care and housing — more expensive over time. 

As of mid-2024, inflation has settled at 3%, a decrease from recent spikes but still above historical norms. For retirees on a fixed income, this means that even a modest inflation rate can shrink your savings faster than expected.

How to Combat Inflation: 

  • Consider fixed index annuities, or FIAs — These can provide a reliable income stream while protecting against market downturns. 
  • Look into inflation-protected assets — Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TIPS, and dividend-paying stocks can help keep pace with rising costs. 
  • Budget for future increases — Don’t assume that today’s expenses will be the same in 10 or 20 years. 
  1. Interest rates: A double-edged sword for retirees 

The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at elevated levels in an effort to control inflation. Higher rates have both benefits and drawbacks for retirees.

The good news: 

  • Savings accounts, CDs and money market funds are offering higher yields. If you’ve been holding cash, you’re finally earning decent interest. 
  • Fixed annuities are offering higher payout rates compared to just a few years ago.

The bad news: 

  • Borrowing is more expensive. If you have outstanding credit card debt, a mortgage or any other variable-rate loans, your payments may be higher than anticipated.
  • Bond values tend to decline when rates rise. If you’re holding long-term bonds, their market value may be lower. 

What you can do: 

  • Reallocate some funds into higher-yield savings options. 
  • Pay down variable-rate debt as quickly as possible. 
  • If you’re considering an annuity, lock in higher interest rates while they last. 
  1. The stock market and retirement accounts 

Market volatility has become the norm in recent years, and that unpredictability can make managing retirement funds tricky. While long-term investors typically benefit from market growth, retirees who need to withdraw funds in a downturn face unique challenges. 

Strategies to manage market uncertainty: 

  • Maintain a cash reserve — Having 12-24 months of living expenses in liquid savings can prevent the need to sell investments at a loss. 
  • Consider a bucket strategy — Divide your portfolio into short-term (cash and bonds), mid-term (balanced investments) and long-term (stocks and growth assets) buckets.
  • Limit withdrawals during market downturns — If possible, adjust your spending temporarily instead of withdrawing from stocks when prices are low. 
  1. Social Security and policy changes 

Concerns about the future of Social Security are growing as the program faces funding shortfalls. While Social Security isn’t expected to disappear, current projections suggest that by 2034, benefits may be reduced to about 80% of their scheduled payouts unless Congress makes adjustments.

What this means for you: 

  • Delaying Social Security can increase your benefit — If you wait until age 70, your monthly payment will be about 8% higher per year past full retirement age.
  • Taxes on benefits may increase — If you have additional income from investments, withdrawals or part-time work, be prepared for up to 85% of your Social Security benefits to be taxable.
  1. The changing landscape of retirement income 

Gone are the days of guaranteed pensions for most workers. Today’s retirees rely on 401(k)s, IRAs, annuities, and Social Security to fund their retirement. This shift requires careful planning to ensure steady income streams.

How to create a more reliable income plan: 

  • Diversify your income sources — Having multiple income streams (Social Security, annuities, investments, rental income, etc.) helps reduce risk. 
  • Use a withdrawal strategy that fits your needs — The traditional 4% withdrawal rule doesn’t work for everyone, especially in high-inflation environments. Consider a dynamic withdrawal strategy that adjusts to market conditions. 
  • Look at lifetime income products — Annuities and other fixed-income solutions can provide stability in uncertain times. 
  1. Health care costs and long-term care 

One of the biggest unknowns in retirement planning is health care costs. As people live longer, expenses for Medicare, prescriptions and long-term care continue to rise.

How to plan for health care expenses: 

  • Consider a health savings account, or HSA — If you’re still working and have a high-deductible health plan, HSAs offer tax-advantaged savings for future medical costs.
  • Understand Medicare premiums and gaps — Medicare Part B premiums rise annually, and coverage doesn’t include long-term care services.
  • Look into long-term care insurance or hybrid policies — These can help protect against the high costs of nursing homes or in-home care.
  1. The role of part-time work in retirement 

More retirees are choosing to work part-time–not just for extra income, but for purpose and social engagement

Benefits of working in retirement: 

  • Delays the need to withdraw funds from savings.
  • Allows continued contributions to retirement accounts like IRAs.
  • Keeps you mentally and physically active.

If you enjoy what you do, part-time work can enhance your retirement rather than disrupt it.

Final thoughts: How to stay ahead of the trends 

  1. Reassess your financial plan regularly — The economic landscape changes, and so should your strategy. 
  2. Diversify your investments and income sources — Relying too heavily on one stream of income can be risky. 
  3. Prepare for rising health care costs and inflation — These are some of the biggest financial stressors in retirement. 
  4. Make the most of higher interest rates — If you can earn more on savings, take advantage of it. 
  5. Stay informed on policy changes — Social Security, tax laws and retirement regulations are always evolving. 

The future of retirement isn’t about predicting every economic change — it’s about adapting to them. With the right planning and mindset, you can secure financial stability no matter what economic trends come next.

Your future self will thank you for the steps you take today.

Lyle Boss, The REAL BOSS Financial, endorsed by Glenn Beck as the premier retirement advisor for Utah and the Mountain West States. Boss Financial, 955 Chambers St. Suite 250, Ogden, UT 84403. Telephone: 801-475-9400.